{"id":8612,"date":"2026-08-04T09:34:49","date_gmt":"2026-08-04T09:34:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/?p=8612"},"modified":"2026-08-04T09:34:49","modified_gmt":"2026-08-04T09:34:49","slug":"trump-keeps-making-threats-washington-and-the-world-have-stopped-flinching","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/?p=8612","title":{"rendered":"Trump keeps making threats. Washington and the world have stopped flinching."},"content":{"rendered":"

The president\u2019s bombast has ceased to rattle world leaders, who have seen him fenced in by courts, rebuffed by Congress and strung along by Iran. <\/strong><\/p>

Read more With the trade deadline over, the Nationals try to move on<\/a><\/p>\n

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President Donald Trump during the Group of Seven summit in June in Evian-les-Bains, France. (Anna Moneymaker\/Getty Images)<\/figcaption>\n<\/figure>\n

LONDON \u2014 When President Donald Trump strode into the Rose Garden in April 2025 brandishing a poster board of tariff hikes, the world leaped as if a fire alarm had gone off. Markets shed trillions of dollars, envoys rushed to Washington, more than 75 governments scrambled to negotiate, some scrapping carefully prepped countermeasures in a rush to cut deals.<\/p>\n

Sixteen months later, the flabbergasting threats keep piling up \u2014 to weaponize trade, annex Canada, seize Greenland, abandon NATO, annihilate Iran \u2014 but the alarm bells have gone quiet. World leaders are slower to rattle as they\u2019ve seen the president increasingly fenced in by courts<\/a>, rebuffed by Congress<\/a> and strung along by Tehran<\/a> \u2014 his ultimatums evaporating<\/a> and poll numbers sinking<\/a>.<\/p>\n

When Trump announced a fresh barrage of tariffs last month<\/a>, this time based on accusations of child labor violations to skirt limits imposed by the Supreme Court, the world didn\u2019t shriek \u2014 it shrugged. France\u2019s central bank governor predicted little impact. Britain proclaimed its exporters largely unaffected. Mexico\u2019s economy minister waved it off as one tariff simply replacing another.<\/p>\n

The financial markets, inured to the bluster, hardly moved.<\/p>\n

As Trump nears the midpoint of his second term, officials and analysts say, one of his signature powers \u2014 to bluster on social media, shock, spark panic and convert that panic (\u201cthank you for your attention to this matter\u201d<\/a>) into the outcomes that he wants, has begun to fade. The bully pulpit of the presidency remains, but the audience is no longer quaking in the pews.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe are getting used to these daily announcements,\u201d said Brando Benifei, an Italian member of the European Parliament who chairs its delegation for relations with the United States. \u201cWe don\u2019t take them so seriously anymore.\u201d<\/p>\n

At home, Trump continues to dominate the national conversation and drive the policy agenda. Still, the president was unable to muscle the Republican-controlled Senate into leaving the Epstein files under seal or passing his signature Save America Act. This week, he had to make concessions <\/a>to get his nomination of Todd Blanche as attorney general back on track.<\/p>\n

Abroad, most consequently, Iran refuses to bend under American bombs and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and Russian President Vladimir Putin persists in his war in Ukraine. Europe met Trump\u2019s recently renewed demands for Greenland with a collective sigh, and trading partners have shrugged off the latest tariffs.<\/p>\n

For a world weary of the United States\u2019 capacity to disrupt, the bombast is baked in, the threats are frequently bluffs and the president who relishes shock and awe, in the end, often backs down.<\/p>\n

The stock trader\u2019s refrain of \u201cTACO\u201d \u2014 Trump Always Chickens Out \u2014 has begun to take hold in more world capitals<\/a>, said Jeremy Shapiro, director of the U.S. program at the European Council on Foreign Relations think tank.<\/p>\n

\u201cI\u2019ve been a little surprised at how much his bluster has worked until now,\u201d Shapiro said of the bravado that rattled the world at the start of Trump\u2019s second term. It was effective, he said, because it drew on the \u201cawesome power and deep, long-stored-up diplomatic capital of the United States\u201d \u2014 reserves, he said, that Trump has \u201cfinally started to blow through.\u201d<\/p>\n

Officials \u201care starting to notice that he\u2019s kind of a bully, and is quite easy to scare,\u201d Shapiro said.<\/p>\n

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President Donald Trump holds a chart as he announces a plan for tariffs on April 2, 2025. (Demetrius Freeman\/The Washington Post)<\/figcaption>\n<\/figure>\n

Last year\u2019s \u201cLiberation Day\u201d tariffs were hollowed out within days by carve-outs and delays. The steep levies he threatened against European allies over Greenland were withdrawn in Davos, Switzerland, in January for a vague \u201cframework\u201d that Denmark never accepted and has yielded no major change.<\/p>\n

China met his threat of 100 percent tariffs by refusing to blink, then used its chokehold on rare-earth minerals and a halt on U.S. soybean purchases to force Washington into a climbdown \u2014 a lesson in how standing tough often causes Trump to bend that other governments have also learned.<\/p>\n

Nowhere is the erosion of Trump\u2019s influence starker than in Iran, where the United States and Israeli initiated a bombing campaign that killed the country\u2019s supreme leader and other top officials but left the Islamic regime intact and with a stranglehold on the Strait of Hormuz, a vital conduit for global energy supplies and other cargo.<\/p>\n

Trump issued a cascade of ultimatums demanding that Tehran reopen the strait, notably threatening to annihilate Iranian \u201ccivilization\u201d if it refused. The strait stayed shut. Iran did not fold, even under existential threat, and Trump quietly shifted his stated goals on regime change and on Iran\u2019s stockpile of enriched uranium.<\/p>\n

\u201cBetween threats, then bombing, then backing off, what he\u2019s radiating to the Iranians is that he\u2019s desperate,\u201d said Ronald E. Neumann, a career Foreign Service officer and U.S. ambassador to Afghanistan, Bahrain and Algeria under Presidents Bill Clinton and George W. Bush. \u201cAs experienced bargainers, that means you don\u2019t have to lower the price.\u201d Neumann also put it less diplomatically: \u201cThe way Trump bargains,\u201d he said, \u201cI wouldn\u2019t give him money to go to the carpet bazaar.\u201d<\/p>\n

Trump\u2019s browbeating also failed to pull European countries into his Iran campaign. He threatened Spain with a total trade embargo after it refused assistance, leaned on Britain, France and Germany to reimpose U.N. sanctions and hinted he might not honor America\u2019s NATO obligations. But those allies refused to get more deeply involved the war \u2014 and some countries, namely Spain and Italy, have closed their bases or airspace to it.<\/p>

Read more How Trump\u2019s claims of vandalism at the renovated Reflecting Pool crumbled<\/a><\/p>\n

When Trump threatened to cut off trade with Spain, said one E.U. diplomat, officials seemed more inclined to dismiss the comments as rhetorical bluster, with many having learned from experience that his outburst would fizzle if ignored. But this diplomat, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss delicate relations, conceded that Trump\u2019s unpredictability made such calculations difficult.<\/p>\n

\u201cIt can be tricky,\u201d the diplomat said, citing Trump\u2019s military operations against Iran. \u201cHe doesn\u2019t always chicken out.\u201d<\/p>\n

To be sure, Trump has shown he is willing pull the trigger.<\/p>\n

At home, he sent National Guard troops on patrol in Washington, D.C., and his immigration crackdown has thrown American cities into turmoil, with masked federal agents sweeping workplaces and courthouses \u2014 raids that sometimes turned deadly and ignited protests.<\/p>\n

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National Guard, Secret Service and U.S. Park Police in D.C. on July Fourth. (Tom Brenner\/For The Washington Post)<\/figcaption>\n<\/figure>\n

But even the willingness to use force has not bought the deference it once did. Increasingly, officials and politicians at home and abroad are willing to challenge Trump\u2019s threats \u2014 or ignore them.<\/p>\n

\u201cEurope is noticeably less prone to panic,\u201d said Mujtaba Rahman, managing director for Europe at the Eurasia Group consultancy. \u201cEuropean governments are increasingly distinguishing between Trump\u2019s rhetoric \u2026 and the policies that ultimately emerge.\u201d<\/p>\n

The pattern reaches into the Gulf, where officials have grown inured to Trump\u2019s style of dealmaking, analysts said.<\/p>\n

Last month, Washington and Riyadh announced an agreement on Saudi Arabia\u2019s civilian nuclear program only for Trump to post later on Truth Social that the deal was contingent on Saudi Arabia joining the Abraham Accords.<\/p>\n

Saudi officials found the claim surprising and annoying given that they had already trumpeted the agreement across their own channels, said Andrew Leber, a Middle East scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, the Washington-based policy institute.<\/p>\n

\u201cAt this point, they have dealt enough with Trump deals to know that such exasperating and inconsistent moves have become the norm,\u201d Leber said.<\/p>\n

For much of Trump\u2019s first year back, European capitals ran the same strategy of flattery and appeasement they believed had contained him before. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen flew to Trump\u2019s Scottish golf resort to settle a trade fight on his terms. Britain invited him for an unprecedented second state visit.<\/p>\n

Leaders now are still willing to flatter Trump, especially in private, but they are less willing to offer the concessions he wants, according to a European diplomat who has been involved directly in talks with the administration.<\/p>\n

\u201cBehind closed doors they are still putting it on thick because they know it works,\u201d said the diplomat, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive interactions. \u201cThis is a president who can significantly soften his position in the course of a single meeting. But that doesn\u2019t mean you give in. That is true more than ever.\u201d<\/p>\n

Greenland was a turning point, the diplomat said, because Trump\u2019s threats evaporated against united European opposition<\/a>. China, too, showed that pushing back could bend the president, as did Brazil, whereas Europe\u2019s surrender to Trump\u2019s initial trade barrage merely led to further demands from him.<\/p>\n

\u201cI think people are saying, well, we don\u2019t want to provoke him unnecessarily, but we can\u2019t really make him happy,\u201d said Neumann, the former ambassador.<\/p>\n

Learning to mute Trump\u2019s threats won\u2019t necessarily make the rest of his term easier to navigate, analysts said. Doing so could even make things less predictable if Republicans lose one or their majorities in Congress in the midterm elections and Trump turns to more unilateral executive actions.<\/p>\n

\u201cIt could be super dangerous,\u201d Shapiro said. \u201cTrump is not somebody who will go quietly into the night. He will rage about his loss of capacity and he will look for other ways to take risks with American power.\u201d<\/p>\n

Faiola reported from Rome. Rachel Chason in Dakar, Senegal, and Ellen Francis in Brussels contributed to this report.<\/i><\/p>

Read more Alex Eala, Taylor Fritz win DC Open titles after Sunday\u2019s rain delay<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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