{"id":9156,"date":"2026-08-15T10:34:52","date_gmt":"2026-08-15T10:34:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/?p=9156"},"modified":"2026-08-15T10:34:52","modified_gmt":"2026-08-15T10:34:52","slug":"democrats-abandon-deep-red-state-senate-races-boosting-independents","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/?p=9156","title":{"rendered":"Democrats abandon deep-red state Senate races, boosting independents"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-9152\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/3b2deda410fd3c466fd7aed82c525659-1024x683.jpg\" width=\"1024\" srcset=\"https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/3b2deda410fd3c466fd7aed82c525659-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/3b2deda410fd3c466fd7aed82c525659-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/3b2deda410fd3c466fd7aed82c525659-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/3b2deda410fd3c466fd7aed82c525659-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/3b2deda410fd3c466fd7aed82c525659-2048x1365.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n<figcaption>Seth Bodnar, the independent candidate for Montana\u2019s open Senate seat, during a parade in Livingston, Montana, on July 2. (William Campbell\/Getty Images)<\/figcaption>\n<\/figure>\n<p>Democrats trying to unseat Republican senators in deep-red states have pursued a new strategy this year: dropping out.<\/p><p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/?p=9150\">Who will make the Commanders\u2019 roster? Here\u2019s the outlook with preseason underway.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The Democratic Senate nominees in Nebraska, Idaho and South Dakota \u2014 all heavily Republican states \u2014 withdrew from the ballot after their primaries, clearing the field for independent candidates. Some Democrats hope that these moderate independents will draw enough crossover support from Republicans and centrist voters who would never back a Democrat to make the races competitive.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe have to do things differently, or more out-of-the-box, to try and expand the playing field,\u201d said Doug Sosnik, a Democratic strategist and former political director for President Bill Clinton.<\/p>\n<p>But this strategy failed where Democrats thought it had the best chance of working: Montana. Some national Democratic groups backed independent Seth Bodnar, the leader of the University of Montana system, but Democratic nominee Alani Bankhead rejected calls to drop out before the Monday withdrawal deadline.<\/p>\n<p>Bankhead, a veteran and first-time political candidate, said the strategy of running independents is a bad idea that hurts Democrats in the long term.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf you want to rehabilitate the brand, then you do it by rehabilitating the brand, not supporting independents,\u201d she said in an interview. Undermining the voters\u2019 will by asking the Democratic nominee to withdraw is \u201chighly inappropriate\u201d and further upsets voters, she said.<\/p>\n<p>Democrats once routinely held Senate seats in states that overwhelmingly backed Republicans for president. But ticket splitting, where voters back candidates from different parties for different offices, has become rarer.<\/p>\n<p>No Democratic senator hails from a solidly red state anymore. Only one senator, Republican Susan Collins (Maine), represents a seat that her party has lost in the last two presidential elections.<\/p>\n<p>The strategy follows independent Dan Osborn\u2019s 2024 Senate campaign in Nebraska when, without a Democratic candidate on the ballot, he lost by seven points to the Republican incumbent while Donald Trump carried the state in the presidential election by nearly 20 percent. Osborn, a former mechanic turned union leader, is running again this year.<\/p>\n<p>The decision to drop out to help independents demonstrates the growing toxicity of the Democratic Party\u2019s brand in many states, according to strategists of both parties. Sosnik, the former Clinton aide, said the party struggles with voters who aren\u2019t college educated and doesn\u2019t adequately convince voters that it represents middle-class Americans.<\/p>\n<figure>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-9153\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/b85c8fd76fb9fb560ed1756bc59d969c-1024x683.jpg\" width=\"1024\" srcset=\"https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/b85c8fd76fb9fb560ed1756bc59d969c-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/b85c8fd76fb9fb560ed1756bc59d969c-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/b85c8fd76fb9fb560ed1756bc59d969c-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/b85c8fd76fb9fb560ed1756bc59d969c-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/b85c8fd76fb9fb560ed1756bc59d969c-2048x1365.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n<figcaption>Voter Tanya McDonald receives instructions about her ballot at a polling place in Arlee, Montana, on Nov. 5, 2024. (Holly Pickett\/For The Washington Post)<\/figcaption>\n<\/figure>\n<p>While it is \u201ccrucial\u201d for the party to rebuild its brand in red states, such long-term concerns are secondary to ousting Republicans, said Neera Tanden, the president of the Center for American Progress, a Democratic think tank.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cDonald Trump is president now, and it\u2019s hard to rebuild a brand in 10 minutes, and the important thing to do in this election is to have the candidate who has the most likelihood of winning,\u201d Tanden said.<\/p>\n<p>But Julian Beaudion, the former Democratic nominee for Senate in South Dakota, said in an interview before exiting the race that asking Democrats to drop out \u201churts state and local parties more than it does the national brand.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Beaudion said he suspended his campaign because of personal challenges, not to help the independent, Brian Bengs.<\/p>\n<p>The independent candidates, all of whom are military veterans, tend to avoid politically divisive issues, instead focusing on popular policies and borrowing rhetoric from both parties.<\/p>\n<p>Bengs and Todd Achilles, the independent Senate candidate in Idaho, and two other independent Senate candidates in Colorado and Mississippi drafted a shared set of policies that includes ending gerrymandering, reducing the national debt and imposing stronger restrictions on insider trading within Congress. They\u2019ve been seeking to paint Democrats and Republicans as two sides of the same corrupt political establishment.<\/p><p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/?p=9145\">Trump stumps in N.Y. suburbs, highlighting a dilemma for his party<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u201cYou can\u2019t tell the difference between a corporatist Republican and a corporatist Dem,\u201d Achilles said in an interview.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThey\u2019re both taking money from the same organizations, the same PACs and so forth,\u201d he said, adding that he would align with populist senators challenging \u201cconcentrated corporate power\u201d including Sens. Elizabeth Warren (D-Massachusetts) and Josh Hawley (R-Missouri). While Hawley and Warren have worked together to target large corporations, they have very different positions on abortion, gun control and many other issues.<\/p>\n<figure>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-9154\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/7c00853e42894e02d241d8c9a151feea-1024x683.jpg\" width=\"1024\" srcset=\"https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/7c00853e42894e02d241d8c9a151feea-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/7c00853e42894e02d241d8c9a151feea-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/7c00853e42894e02d241d8c9a151feea-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/7c00853e42894e02d241d8c9a151feea-1536x1025.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/7c00853e42894e02d241d8c9a151feea-2048x1366.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n<figcaption>Dan Osborn, a former mechanic turned union leader, is running again for Senate in Nebraska as an independent. (Bonnie Ryan\/AP)<\/figcaption>\n<\/figure>\n<p>Osborn, too, strikes a balance between traditionally Democratic and Republican policies: he advocates for strengthening social security and legalizing marijuana, but also supports targeted tariffs and lists \u201cdrain the swamp\u201d as a policy priority.<\/p>\n<p>But Osborn, Bengs and Achilles barely mention abortion, though all oppose a federal ban. They proclaim support for the Second Amendment while supporting what they call gun safety measures. They\u2019ve all talked tough about illegal immigration but have also criticized U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement.<\/p>\n<p>Republicans argue they are essentially Democrats in disguise. They support \u201cthe same socialist policies and middle-class tax hikes that made Democrats toxic across the country,\u201d said Joanna Rodriguez, a spokesperson for the party\u2019s Senate campaign arm.<\/p>\n<p>Few nonpartisan polls have been conducted of the races in Nebraska, Idaho and South Dakota, but it\u2019s expected to be a significant uphill battle for the three independent candidates.<\/p>\n<p>Osborn has the best chance in Nebraska, having coming within single digits in his last campaign and now running in a year expected to more heavily favor Democrats. But his opponent, incumbent Pete Ricketts, is one of the wealthiest senators and has spent millions of his own money on the race.<\/p>\n<p>The nonpartisan Cook Political Report currently rates the Nebraska race as \u201cLikely Republican,\u201d and the two races in Idaho and South Dakota as \u201cSolid Republican.\u201d Some Democrats hope that, even if the independents fail to win, these races will drain Republican money that could be spent on other races.<\/p>\n<figure>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-9155\" height=\"698\" src=\"https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/e1c720d96a5baae1b035ca73dddfd133-1024x698.jpeg\" width=\"1024\" srcset=\"https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/e1c720d96a5baae1b035ca73dddfd133-1024x698.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/e1c720d96a5baae1b035ca73dddfd133-300x204.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/e1c720d96a5baae1b035ca73dddfd133-768x523.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/e1c720d96a5baae1b035ca73dddfd133-1536x1046.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/e1c720d96a5baae1b035ca73dddfd133-2048x1395.jpeg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n<figcaption>Democrats previously coalesced behind center-right independent Evan McMullin when he ran for a Utah Senate seat in 2022. (Eli Lucero\/AP)<\/figcaption>\n<\/figure>\n<p>Independent members of Congress usually caucus with one of the major parties. But the independent Senate candidates have insisted that they will not, instead hoping that they\u2019d have the power to control the agenda in a narrowly divided Senate.<\/p>\n<p>No elected senator in the past 50 years has declined to caucus with major parties, a move that would likely deny them seats on committees. Achilles, the Idaho candidate, said he believes he\u2019ll have leverage to join committees if the Senate is closely divided.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI\u2019ll work with Republicans where it makes sense on good legislation coming from that side, and I\u2019ll work with the Dems when there\u2019s good legislation coming from that side,\u201d Achilles said. \u201cSo both sides are going to have to work for my vote.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>While independents and third-party candidates have previously won Senate seats, major party nominees have historically not withdrawn from the ballot. And in no recent examples did a party\u2019s caucus lose control of a Senate seat in a state where they were expected to be favored, as Democrats are hoping these independents can pull off.<\/p>\n<p>Democrats, even before Osborn\u2019s 2024 campaign, have tried to leverage this strategy to break through in Republican states. Independent Greg Orman lost a 2014 Senate campaign in Kansas by 10 percentage points, outperforming past Democrats, after the Democratic nominee withdrew. In 2020, independent Al Gross lost Alaska\u2019s Senate election but did so after winning the Democratic primary and running as the party\u2019s nominee. And in 2022, Democrats got behind the center-right independent Evan McMullin in Utah, who lost but again overperformed prior Democratic nominees.<\/p>\n<p>Republicans, though, argue that voters can see through the strategy.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cPeople aren\u2019t stupid,\u201d said GOP strategist Matt Gorman. \u201cFor it to be a successful strategy, it should probably actually work, and it just doesn\u2019t.\u201d<\/p><p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/?p=9142\">DeSantis says he doesn\u2019t support Republican Rep. Cory Mills in Tuesday\u2019s primary<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Democratic Senate nominees in Nebraska, Idaho and South Dakota dropped out, clearing the way for independents. But Alani Bankhead in Montana declined to join them.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9151,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9156","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-interesting"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Democrats abandon deep-red state Senate races, boosting independents - Moving Insider USA<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/movinginsiderusa.com\/?p=9156\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Democrats abandon deep-red state Senate races, boosting independents - Moving Insider USA\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Democratic Senate nominees in Nebraska, Idaho and South Dakota dropped out, clearing the way for independents. 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